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金融行业的佼佼者
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Bank of Canada's interest rate decision is coming, and the probability of keeping the troops still is high

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If the sea loses the rolling waves, it will lose its majesty; if the desert loses the dancing of flying sand, it will lose its magnificence; if life loses its real journey, it will lose its meaning.

Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange]: The Bank of Canada's interest rate resolution is www.xmserving.coming, and the probability of keeping the troops still is high." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

XM: The Bank of Canada’s interest rate resolution is www.xmserving.coming, and the probability of keeping the troops still is high.

XM Exchange www.xmserving.comment: Today at 21:45, the Bank of Canada will announce the results of the July interest rate resolution, and the mainstream expects it to maintain the benchmark interest rate of 2.75%. If the final result meets expectations, this will be the second time the Bank of Canada has suspended interest rate cuts this year (the first time on April 16).

Since May 2024, the Bank of Canada has cut interest rates seven times, with a maximum rate cut of 50 basis points in a single time, and a cumulative rate of 225 basis points, far exceeding other central banks in Europe and the United States. The Bank of Canada was originally very aggressive in loose monetary policy, but the reason why it began to be very cautious in April was because of US President Trump's radical tariff policy.

As of now, no trade agreement has been reached between Canada and the United States. August 1 is the negotiation deadline announced by Trump. If the two countries still fail to reach an agreement, Canada will be subject to tariffs of up to 35%. Such high tariffs will seriously impact Canada's export industry, and Canada's macroeconomics is highly dependent on the export industry and has to be treated with caution. The existence of potential tariff risks may lead to the greater the depreciation of the Canadian dollar as close to the August 1 deadline.

The formulation of the Bank of Canada's monetary policy includes domestic economic data in addition to external factors. Judging from inflation data, Canada's core CPI annual rate in June was 2.7%, higher than the previous value of 2.5%, and far higher than the moderate inflation standard of 2%. Since November 2024, Canada's inflation rate has entered a rebound state, which means that the current benchmark interest rate has no effective inhibitory effect on www.xmserving.commodity demand. Bank of Canada only opened in AprilThe interest rate cuts have begun to be suspended, which actually lags behind the performance of inflation data. February 2025 is the optimal time point.

▲XM chart

From the trend structure perspective, at the daily level, USDCAD is in the bottoming stage under the medium-term bear trend, and there is a possibility of a turning point in the trend. From mid-June to the present, the K-line has formed a standard sideways oscillating structure with triple bottoms and double tops. The latest band is an increase in the oscillation range, with a highest point of 1.3787 points, which has entered the top resistance zone of the oscillation range. Today's K-line pattern is more critical. If the market closes with a significant positive line, the oscillation structure will be destroyed, the upward band will continue, and the trend is expected to change from a bear to a long one. However, considering that the volatile trend has been quite stable over the past month, the probability that the upward band can break through the resistance of the upper oscillation is not too high.

XM risk warning, disclaimer, special statement: The market is risky, so be cautious when investing. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not regard this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' views may change and updates will not be notified separately.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange]: The Bank of Canada's interest rate resolution is www.xmserving.coming, and the probability of keeping the troops still is high". It was carefully www.xmserving.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!

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market news

Bank of Canada's interest rate decision is coming, and the probability of keeping the troops still is high

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

market news

Bank of Canada's interest rate decision is coming, and the probability of keeping the troops still is high

Related News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason