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A collection of positive and negative news that affects the foreign exchange market
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "【XM Foreign Exchange Platform】: Collection of positive and negative news that affects the foreign exchange market". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
In the foreign exchange market, various news continues to surge like a tide, profoundly affecting the trend of the currency and the decisions of investors. On July 30, 2025, many positive and negative news were intertwined, jointly shaping the www.xmserving.complex pattern of the current foreign exchange market.
1. Good news
(I) China's foreign exchange market showed strong resilience and vitality
The foreign exchange receipts and expenditure data released by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange on July 22 showed that my country's foreign exchange market operated smoothly, with resilience and vitality fully demonstrated. The net inflow of cross-border funds in non-bank sectors such as enterprises and individuals was US$127.3 billion, continuing the net inflow since the second half of last year, with net inflows increasing by 46% month-on-month in the second quarter. Among them, net inflows under goods trade were operating at a high level, and foreign capital increased its overall net holdings of domestic stocks and bonds. In the first half of the year, the scale of foreign-related revenue and expenditure in my country steadily expanded, with the total cross-border revenue and expenditure of the non-bank sector reaching US$7.6 trillion, an increase of 10.4% year-on-year, setting a record high in the same period. The proportion of RMB in cross-border revenue and expenditure reaches 53%, and its status is becoming increasingly prominent. The total scale of bank foreign exchange settlement and foreign exchange sales was US$2.3 trillion, an increase of 3% year-on-year, the highest in the same period in history, demonstrating the continued activity of my country's cross-border trade and investment and financing activities. These positive data have greatly enhanced the market's confidence in RMB assets, attracted more foreign capital inflows, and provided strong support for the RMB exchange rate.
At the same time, Xiao Sheng, director of the Capital Project Management Department of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, revealed that three key measures will be introduced in the next step. First, expand the pilot policies of the free trade pilot zone, covering 5 cross-border trade facilitation policies (such as new international trade settlement optimization) and 5 cross-border investment and financing opening policies (such as QFLP foreign exchange management pilot); second, cancel the registration of foreign direct investment reinvestment, simplify the fund transfer process, and the relevant solicitation of opinions has been www.xmserving.completed; third, increase the foreign debt quota of science and technology enterprises, and the quota of independent borrowing of some high-quality enterprises will increase to US$20 million, and the relevant documents will be officially released soon. The advancement of these policies will further enhance the openness and vitality of my country's foreign exchange market, attract more foreign capital to participate in my country's market, and play a positive role in the stability and appreciation expectations of the RMB exchange rate.
(II) Eurozone economic data is improving
Some economic data released by the eurozone recently exceeded market expectations. For example, although the manufacturing PMI is still in the contraction range, it has seen a significant rebound www.xmserving.compared with last month, showing signs of gradual recovery in the manufacturing industry. The service industry PMI has also remained in the expansion range, and the growth rate has accelerated, indicating that the eurozone service industry continues to grow and the economic structure is gradually being optimized. The improvement in economic data has increased the market's confidence in the economic outlook of the euro zone, and the rising demand for the euro has driven the euro to strengthen in the foreign exchange market. At the same time, ECB officials expressed relatively optimistic attitudes on the economic outlook in their recent speeches, implying that monetary policy will maintain the existing easing efforts to support further economic recovery, which also stabilized market expectations for the euro and was a positive for the euro exchange rate.
2. Negative news
(I) Tension in the global trade situation affects market confidence
The Trump administration's tariff policies continue to ferment, and international trade frictions continue to intensify. The United States imposed high tariffs on goods from many countries, which triggered countermeasures from various countries to take countermeasures and the global trade environment deteriorated. This not only led to a decline in global trade volume, affecting economic growth of various countries, but also greatly increased uncertainty in the foreign exchange market. Many countries that rely on exports have their currencies facing depreciation pressure. For example, currencies in emerging market countries have been blocked by trade, economic growth expectations have been lowered, and their performance in the foreign exchange market is weak. At the same time, the tense trade situation has caused the market to heat up risk aversion sentiment, and investors have turned to traditional safe-haven currencies such as the US dollar and the Japanese yen, which has curbed demand for other currencies and the exchange rate is facing downward pressure.
(II) The risks in the Argentina's foreign exchange market are rising
The Argentina economy is in turmoil due to double pressure from both domestic and external sources. Internationally, the U.S. tariff hike has caused Argentina's www.xmserving.commodity export prices to fall, foreign demand has weakened, and the strengthening of the U.S. dollar has further added uncertainty to the local economy. Domestic, Argentina is negotiating a new financial aid agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Although it is expected to obtain funds to alleviate short-term debt repayment pressure, the high interest rate and fiscal expenditure reduction requirements accompanying loans have put a heavy burden on the economy. The "Market Expectation Survey" released by the Argentina Central Bank shows that more than 40 economists predict that by the end of 2025, the official wholesale dollar exchange rate will rise to 1,253 pesos, a significant increase from the forecast last month. The US dollar price in the futures market has pushed up to 1,440 pesos by the end of the year, implying that the annual increase is close to 40%. The uneasiness in the foreign exchange market has increased significantly, and the Argentine peso is facing huge depreciation pressure, which has also negatively impacted the overall stability of currencies in neighboring countries and emerging market currencies.Influence.
Total view, on July 30, 2025, the foreign exchange market was affected by various factors, and the game between bulls and bears was fierce. Investors need to pay close attention to various news trends and carefully formulate investment strategies to cope with market uncertainty.
The above content is all about "【XM Foreign Exchange Platform】: Collection of positive and negative news that affects the foreign exchange market". It was carefully www.xmserving.compiled and edited by the XM Foreign Exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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