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4.27 Will gold and crude oil surge continue to fall next week? How to operate the opening of gold and crude oil next Monday
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: 4.27 Will the market fall next week after the surge? How to operate the market for gold crude oil opening next Monday." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
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Gold market trend analysis next week:
Gold news analysis: Spot gold suddenly suffered a violent sell-off on Friday (April 25). As of press time, the gold price was temporarily reported at $3281.87/ounce, a drop of 1.46%, with a high of $3370.06/ounce and a low of $3265.16/ounce. Easing of global tensions, especially between the United States and China or Eastern Europe, may significantly reduce the demand for safe-haven. While this is not the basic situation in 2025, it is still an unexpected risk that traders must consider. In fact, gold prices have fallen from recent highs after U.S. President Trump hinted that tariffs on China could be lowered. This growing global uncertainty has prompted investors to turn to safe-haven assets, and gold is one of the most tested safe-haven assets. As global trade is damaged and economic growth prospects are bleak, the hedging effect of gold is becoming increasingly obvious. Gold prices may face pressure from technical pullbacks and profit-taking in the short term, 3260-The $3,300 area will be the key battlefield for the long and short tug-of-war.
Gold technical analysis: From the perspective of market sentiment, interest-free gold, as a safe-haven asset, has performed strongly this year, with prices soaring nearly $700 and setting historical highs several times. However, the recent optimistic expectations of global economic and trade relations have boosted market risk appetite, and the equity market has generally performed positively, and some funds have flowed out of safe-haven assets such as gold to risky assets, which is also the main psychological factor under pressure on gold prices. If the market risk appetite continues to improve, global economic and trade relations will further ease, and the US dollar strengthens, gold prices may face greater downward pressure. They will first test the support of US$3,260. If they lose the rules, they may fall below US$3,225, and even challenge the integer mark of US$3,200. In addition, if the US economic data performs strongly, market expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut may further cool down, which will also put pressure on gold prices.
From the daily chart performance, the recent trend of gold prices has shown a high consolidation trend, with a significant pullback since the high point around US$3,500. Gold prices rebounded a certain amount after hitting the weekly low, but the rebound strength encountered resistance near the 23.6% Fibonacci pullback (around $3368-3370 area), which has now transformed into an important short-term resistance. The opening trend of the gold market today seemed to be yesterday. It started to rise and rise in the early trading session, rising all the way to around $3,370. However, it encountered strong resistance here and then turned downward and started a decline. It is worth noting that today's gold price not only failed to break through this key resistance level, but also fell below the low point hit by the European and American trading yesterday, and only rebounded after reaching $3,287.
In view of the important trend of gold prices breaking through key points, the subsequent market is likely to continue its short-selling thinking. Judging from the current market structure, the position of US$3,260 has become the focus of the market, and investors need to pay close attention to whether the gold price can reach or even fall below this point. Once it falls effectively, the bear trend will be further strengthened and the market may usher in deeper adjustments. Technical analysis from the hourly market showed that yesterday's low was $3,306, and the rebound just now showed a clear stop signal at this position. Based on this, the short-term suppression level can be referenced at $3,315, and the upwards are $3,328. For short-term investors, they can consider waiting for the gold price to rebound to around $3,295 and continue to bearish on the gold price. The first thing to pay attention to the low support for US$3260 this week. If the support level falls, the next key support level will be US$3223. If US$3223 is also effectively broken, the bear power will be further released, and gold prices may face a larger decline. Overall, in terms of gold's short-term operation ideas next week, He Bosheng recommends that rebound high altitudes should be the main focus, and the retracement should be the low long as the auxiliary. The short-term focus should be on the 3335-3355 line resistance, and the short-term focus should be on the 3300-3288 line support.
Analysis of crude oil market trends next week:
Analysis of crude oil news: Brent crude oil in the early trading on FridayIt rose 5 cents to $66.60 per barrel, but the weekly decline was still 2%. WTI crude oil rose 6 cents to $62.85 per barrel, down 2.9% this week. According to market research, several representatives of OPEC+ member states proposed this week that the alliance will accelerate the recovery of crude oil production in June, the second consecutive month that the issue has been raised. The news has led the market to reassess the balance between crude oil supply and demand. At the same time, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict may usher in a turning point. Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said in an interview with the US media that Russia and the United States "go in the right direction" to end the Ukrainian conflict, but there are still key issues that need to be resolved. Once the conflict stops and sanctions on Russia are lifted, more Russian crude oil will be released to return to the international market.
Crude oil technical analysis: From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend moving average system is arranged downward, and the medium-term objective trend direction is downward. After the oil price hits a low of 55.20, the frequent alternation of bulls and bears formed will accumulate momentum for shorts in the medium term and are expected to further decline to the 50 position in the later period. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil is running at a secondary oscillating rhythm, oil prices repeatedly cross the moving average system, and the objective short-term trend direction is the oscillating rhythm. MACD stops the fast and slow line and leaves the bears gradually test the zero axis position, and the bulls' kinetic energy becomes warmer. It is expected that the rhythm of crude oil fluctuation will be longer, and there is a high probability of running that will rise first and then fall. Overall, in terms of crude oil's operational ideas next week, He Bosheng recommends that the main focus should be on the low-sinking back, and the rebound should be high-altitude supplemented. The short-term focus should be on the 64.5-65.0 line resistance at the top, and the short-term focus should be on the 62.0-61.5 line support at the bottom.
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